We have started another premium service for trading stocks. The features of the service are -
One can scale the position size to one’s actual portfolio value.
The Options and futures performance can be seen here.
p.s. – update 10/21 – first week closed trades in the swing portfolio can be seen here.
We have delivered exceptional results in our options and futures portfolios. Options and futures are difficult to trade even in a normal market. This has been anything but a normal market.
2010 – 30k Options portfolio - Gain 187% – $ Gain 56221 – Details here.
01/11 – current – 30k Options portfolio – Gain 118% – $ Gain 35459 – Details here.
07/10- current – 25k Futures portfolio – Gain 162% – $ Gain 40645 – Details here.
We have made more than 90k on the 30k options portfolio since inception in 12/09. That’s more than 300% return during a period when s&p rose by 3%. There were many who would say that we didn’t have a long enough track record when we started back in 12/09. We told them to wait until we have long enough track record. If this still is not a costly enough wait then keep waiting. We have 22 months of track record now. It’s an eternity when one is engaged in short term trading. We are pleased that many realized the value of the service and stuck to the plan through thick and thin and benefitted handsomely.
We have made $40k on the futures portfolio since 07/2010. We have started trading NQ and TF also now and will start trading other instruments too with time. This has given us the flexibility that was missing before when we were just trading ES.
If S&P is the frame of reference then S&P opened at 1099 on 12/1/09, the day we started trading in options portfolio, and closed at 1131 on 09/30/2011. A rise of mere 32 points for a gain of 3%. So much for buy and hold.
p.s. – These services are not for those who want to extract money from the market every day or month. We are not running an ATM here. There will be ups and downs. It’s part and parcel of trading. We have given unrealistic results but we are only interested in attracting people with realistic expectations, people who do not get carried away when things are going great or get rattled when things get rough. What you need to focus on is how we come out of bad stretches? Market will fool us from time to time but we will always have the last laugh, guaranteed.
I made a blog post on Sep 22′ 09 titled “Nasdaq looks set to overtake 2007 highs“. Finally Nasdaq has overtaken the 2007 highs today. It’s headed much higher from here because S&P and Dow still have ways to go before they overtake 2007 highs. This bull is not stopping before these remaining objectives are achieved.
We have achieved another milestone when it comes to trading ES. We have crossed the 600 point mark in a little over 6 months. We are running a tight ship here. We haven’t accumulated these points by taking any undue risk. In fact we have traded quite conservatively. It has been one steady track. This is what makes it so satisfying. We always knew that we had a good grip on the market as a whole. ES is one instrument that has helped us translate this market acumen into effortless performance.
Some of the feedback received in the last few days -
From: “DH”
Date: February 4, 2011 3:53:39 PM CST
To: “‘Vinayd05′”
Subject: RE: [ThinkingTrades] We nail it again..and again!
Congratulations… again!
After watching you trade for over a month now I’ve come to realize just how
poor a trader I really am and how incredibly good a trader you are…
You have an amazing feel for the market – I have none in comparison and it
sucks and I can’t tell why I continue to err so much.
But you are an entirely different story:
- You have conviction in your trades
- You have discipline
- You have patience
- Your entries and exits within the defined risk parameters are almost
perfectly timed to achieve the most astounding results I’ve ever seen.
The most frustrating thing is that I’ve been only watching for the past
month to see if I should “trust” taking the trades. Watching while your
gains grew as I continued to trade my “methods” and see them frequently fall
short.
Honestly, I’m a bit jealous, envious, curious, and a lot of other things
about how you do what you do with such outstanding results. Great job!
More importantly though, I’m thankful that you’re willing to share the
signals and discuss your market views as the time has come for me to quit
watching and start trusting and taking the excellent signals you send out.
At this point I just have to admit that I’m nowhere close to your skill
level – not even in the ballpark. But I’ll keep trying to see if I can
figure out a rhyme and reason as I overlay your signals on my charts to see
where I’m in sync and where I differ and hopefully learn.
Thanks again for “nailing it again.. and again” like you continue to do.
Doug
From: GIN
Date: February 4, 2011 3:17:07 PM CST
To: thinkingtrades
Vinay,
Awesome trades! It is really fascinating to see you trade in real time.
Do you have any plan to teach people how you trade? For example, how you decide it is time to enter, and when to exit. Do you rely on charts or indicators, or sentiments?
Do you trade based on your gut feeling or more with thinking?
Thanks for the service. I feel so fortunate to find you after having been through many other lousy services that cost a ton but deliver nothing.
Gin
From: mike
Date: January 28, 2011 3:52:51 PM CST
To: thinkingtrades
No question you are on fire Vinay! I am in awe of your market reading – hope to be there some day. Your win /loss record is just incredible! Unfortunately i wanted to give your trading alerts a week for me to get comfortable with – so i missed out on your outstanding profits – but that was my plan and i stuck to it. (we did have email issues on Outlook, so it is good to work out the logistics first or i could have been long all this time – yikes.)
Does it take 10 years to get a feel for the market without using indicators?
What can one do to speed up the process – or is it just time and recognition?
I am putting every trade level you utilize on my chart to see if i can see what you see.
Have a great weekend – you should be extremely proud of your trading.
Mike
We can go on and on copying and pasting the feedback received from others but you get the point. Thanks to one and all for providing feedback and appreciation.
The futures trades sent in real time via email can be seen here.
P.S. If someone wants to follow the futures portfolio then they need to e-mail me first. There is no 2 week free trial for futures.
Okay I have engaged in a little plagiarism here. I borrowed the title idea from an unsolicited email that read something like this – “Kass nails it again.. and again”..
I don’t know about Kass but we have definitely nailed this market time and time again. Our track record in getting the big picture right has been stellar even when the Prechter’s, Nenner’s and Russell’s of the world have failed miserably. These guys are so old school. They know too much and that’s their greatest undoing. We have not missed a single major turn since starting the blog in 08. We called the crash here. We called the impending bottom here. We called to stay long here. Not that we have not been misled by the market ever. We have gotten off track at times but those instances are few and far between. We were quick to make amends in those instances. We do not use our brains when it comes to the market. We just follow the market. Times when the market tries to mislead us is the only time we use our brains.
Almost a month back we said that SPX 1300 is a foregone conclusion and it has come to pass. Now what? Now it’s time for a little correction. No more than that. I think a tag of SPX 1220 is very likely and more likely an undercut of 1200 is coming. In short just a period of turbulence ahead where both bulls and bears will be kept guessing. No need to get married to any one side right now.
We are doing great on the premium site, be it options or futures trading. The futures trades sent in real time via email can be seen here. The futures service has been a low risk money making machine since day one. If at all there is anything called low risk in the market. It’s as clear as day and night. We leave no room for confusion when we talk about the market or when we post our trades. It can’t get any clearer than this.
P.S. If someone wants to follow the futures portfolio then they need to e-mail me first. There is no 2 week free trial for futures.
SPX 1300 is coming. There are many who are on the bandwagon of this being a bull market now but we saw this coming long time ago. We had made a blog post on Sep 22′ 09 titled “Nasdaq looks set to overtake 2007 highs“. It too is coming.
Employment report is tomorrow. If it’s a good report then SPX 1285-1295 is likely tomorrow. If it’s bad then too 1300 is coming but after a little circus. If it’s a good report and still the market sells off then too 1300 is coming. In short SPX 1300 is a done deal one way or the other as far as I am concerned. Any sell off before that is just a mirage. This bull market is a champ in blowing smoke screens or what would explain record inflow in bond funds while the market staged a 100% rally from the bottom.
We are doing great on the premium site. The futures trades sent in real time via email can be seen here.
P.S. If someone wants to follow the futures portfolio then they need to e-mail me first. There is no 2 week free trial for futures.
There is nothing to dislike about the market action of the past few days. The time has come for the market to leave the SPX 1220-30 zone behind. Financials have been a weak link so far. It seems they too are coming back to life. I think there is a high probability of 1300+ being seen by the time first quarter earnings start rolling in. It’s one of those times when the market has conveyed its intentions very clearly. No need to over think.
To understand what I mean by that, you have to visit any of the perma blogs and hang out in the comments section especially after a big up day. Some would be cursing the fed for pumping the market. Some would rationalize that market will come to its senses sooner or later. Some would be begging for the blog owner to provide an update. The blog owner will in all likelihood be missing in action. They just want a confirmation from the ring leader, read blog owner, that they are right in thinking wrong. If you dare to comment anything contrary to what the mob wants to hear then you better be prepared to get lynched by the mob. The ring leader is the Pied Piper. There will be Pied Pipers as long as there are stupid folks around. I am afraid they will always be around because you can’t fix stupid.
As for the market, it has overcome the 1222 level. I think 1240-50 zone will be tough to crack in the first attempt but then who cares. Eventually this market is headed higher and probably much higher. Keep the focus on bigger picture rather than getting swayed by short term circus. I had made a blog post on Sep 22′ 09 titled “Nasdaq looks set to overtake 2007 highs“. It looks much closer to fruition now. I never put a time frame on it since I had no clue but now I think it can happen before the first quarter is over.
We are doing great on the premium site. The futures trades sent in real time via email can be seen here.
Some of the recent feed back from premium members is below –
I wanted to thank you for your great futures calls. As a parent of an autistic child this extra money comes in handy, to say the least. – Jeff
You are pretty damn amazing. Thanks for this wonderful service. I finally feel like I am in good hands. – Jason
I am simply amazed with the simplicity in your trades signals, accuracy and trade managements. Loss is part of the business. One need to look at the overall performance over a series of trades. – Subramani
I have done fairly well since joining you on Sep 22 – Greg
I have tried quite a few services, mainly focussed on futures trading. Your’s is by far the easiest to follow and returns have been phenomenal – Terry
I find your sevice super , not so much bla bla bla. – Juergen
P.S. If someone wants to follow the futures portfolio then they need to e-mail me first. There is no 2 week free trial for futures alerts. Even for options, this 2 week free trial circus won’t last for long.
There is election and the much anticipated QE2 announcement by fed this week. Both these events can and will move the markets. It’s tough to say if it will be sell the news or buy the news. What’s easier to say is that eventually market is headed higher. Any sell off will just be a temporary bump on the road to higher levels.
The levels to watch are 1190, 1207 and 1222 on the upside and 1170 and 1150 on the downside. I think a move above 1200 is imminent but wouldn’t worry if it doesn’t happen right here and right now.
We are doing great on the premium site. We engage in short term trading and one has to keep in mind that even the best of plans can go awry in the short term. A good plan needs to withstand the test of time. So even though our trading horizon is short, our focus is long term.
It has been 10 weeks since we started trading in the futures portfolio. We have made net 306 ES points. It’s a net gain of $15300. The return has been generated by trading just 1 or 2 contracts at a time.
As for the market, I think our trades are the window into our thinking at thinkingtrades. The futures trades sent in real time via email can be seen here.
P.S. If someone wants to follow the futures portfolio then they need to e-mail me first. There is no 2 week free trial for futures alerts. Auto trading is available for futures.
